Will Ofcom media-buying probe lift the lid on a can of worms?

April 6, 2011

Good luck to Ofcom as it attempts to prise the lid off the £3.5bn TV media-buying market and explore the wriggling multi-form life within. It really is a can of worms, and one most people in the business, most of the time, would prefer to keep firmly closed.

Their motives differ. Clients, despite the high-minded calls coming from their trade body ISBA for greater industry transparency, tend to find the subject stultifyingly boring. One indefensible reason for this is their personal unwillingness, or inability, to grasp the Byzantine complexities of the trading system. You might as well ask them to brush up their Latin as describe in detail the iniquities of media-owner  rebates. More pragmatically, they argue they have better things to do with their time – such as steering the strategy of their brands. Media negotiation is a matter for experts (on all sides) who understand the language, is it not? All you need to do is put a lesser amount on the table every year, screw down the terms with your agency even further, and get an auditor to establish that, at the year end, you have achieved still greater value for money (spuriously expressed in “media currency”  terms, not ROI) than the year before. If you haven’t, well maybe it’s time to fire your agency.

Media owners and agencies, on the other hand, are intimately aware of distortions in the system caused by such recondite issues as “pooled buying”, “agency deals” and “rebates”. And so they should be: these distortions, and the cloud-cover (or lack of transparency to the outsider and the regulator) that accompanies them, are what allow them to game the system.

Would a more open system be more effective than the present regime, for all its imperfections? Not necessarily. Better regulation does not inexorably lead to better business.

The fundamental criticism of the current system is that ads/spots end up going to the media owner who offers the best agency incentive rather the best fit for the client’s brand. The fundamental problem facing any reformer attempting to redress the balance is agency remuneration.

It might seem that media-buying agencies are in an incredibly powerful position. Indeed, in some ways they are. Ten buyers owned by six international agency groups – WPP, Publicis Groupe, Omnicom, IPG, Aegis and Havas – are responsible for about 80% of the money spent on UK commercial television. A comparable oligopoly dominates press, magazine and (under the guise of agency specialists), outdoor buying. The concentration of their market power is now, arguably, greater than that of the clients they serve, or the media owners they negotiate with.

Not surprisingly, these media buying groups are critical to the profitability of the agency groups that own them. As a recent article in The Guardian pointed out, something like £43bn a year passes through WPP alone (admittedly the largest global operator) on its way to media owners – which is more than the GDP of Ecuador. The treasury and cash-flow advantages cannot be overestimated. Equally, let’s not forget profitability. A media buying house on song has an operating margin of up to 25% which, given the scale of its operations, makes it the single most important component in any of the big agency groups.

But with power comes a surprising vulnerability. When agency network bosses promise their shareholders – as they do every year – enhanced performance, the first place they come looking for it is in their media-buying cash cows. Yet that profitability is built on foundations of sand. The days of 5% commission are long since gone; the equivalent of 2-2.5% would now be nearer the mark, as client procurement tightens the noose. And then there are complications, like a part of the deal being based on payment by results. The net result is greater reliance on financial compensation from the media owner: in effect, the use or abuse of market power to screw down the ratecard.

Most notorious of these Spanish practices is the discount, and the easiest way of looking at how it operates is with national newspapers. Agency media buyers are bonused on achieving a set reduction (10% for argument’s sake) not from the ratecard itself, but from the per page mean figure of all titles established in the last audit. Clearly it’s easier to negotiate a discount with a weaker player. The danger, from the client’s point of view, is that the ad ends up not in the title with the best audience profile or which boasts the most robust circulation, but in the title that has offered the best deal to the media buyer (which then collects its bonus). This market distortion has an ironic multiplying effect, given that most national newspapers are in the grip of structural circulation decline: the strong get punished, while the weak get weaker.

Murkier still is the incentive, a media-owner inducement which is often offered in addition to the negotiated discount. It may come in the form of cash, or free insertions/airtime. Strictly speaking, it should be remitted to the client, although that is far from always the case. Airtime barter may be illegal in the UK, but it is often difficult to audit who has used this extra airtime/pagination and for what purpose. An extreme example of what can go wrong when the client and senior agency management let their eye slide off the ball is provided by the Aleksander Ruzicka affair. Ruzicka was the president of Aegis’ German operation; but he is now spending 11 years in jail. The reason? He and several co-conspirators clandestinely siphoned TV airtime credits, which should have been remitted to the client Danone, into their own television sales house – where they were sold on for their own profit.

However, many clients are milder than Danone, which eventually decided to extract its pound of flesh in court: they simply take the view that incentives are a perk of the job, and would rather not know what is going on. They are not necessarily wrong to do so. As long as the system broadly delivers value, why worry about its flaws? Besides, it’s often difficult to determine the difference between what, from a media owner’s perspective, is simply a “loyalty payment” lubricating the wheels of business and an unvarnished bribe. The belief seems to be that the auditing system will expose any systematic skew in buying behaviour, and therefore acts as an effective suppressant of corruption.

As it happens, Ofcom’s terms of reference do not seem to encompass the principle of the discount. Siobhan Walsh, who is leading the 6-month investigation, will instead concentrate on whether pooled buying by the big operators (“share deals”) restricts choice for planners (who select the best audience profile for their client) and shuts out the smaller buying specialist.

The danger is that the investigation finds sufficient cause for concern to warrant involving the Competition Commission. Who knows what worms will crawl out if the CC launches a full TV ad market review? Nor, I suspect, will the repercussions be restricted to the TV market.

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How game-changing is PepsiCo’s media alliance with InBev?

April 7, 2010

Cynics see in Anheuser-Busch Inbev’s decision to pool its US media buying resources with those of PepsiCo two wounded warriors propping each other up for support. Firepower is not the issue here; between them they spent $1.15bn on measured media (Kantar) last year.  It is their fighting efficiency which has been under par.

In other words, both parties to the deal feel they are paying the main media far too much and by doubling their negotiating clout they will extract a big dividend.

They may well be right. Media owners, from NBC to Viacom, certainly have reason to be apprehensive. Heretofore, A-B’s media buying performance – which is the responsibility of an inhouse team, Busch Media Group – can best be described as sleepy and would certainly benefit from an infusion of new energy, even if that does come from OMD – which has done an adequate, although hardly effervescent, job for PepsiCo.

The bigger question is where such co-operation might eventually lead. And it’s one for agencies, rather than media owners.

The current PepsiCo/InBev pact began only three months ago as what appeared to be a classic procurement ploy. Indeed, at the time, a PepsiCo spokesman was quoted as saying that “the consortium is not related to media costs or marketing”. Instead it would concern itself with “backroom issues” such as travel, office supplies and computers. As we can now see, the PepsiCo spokesman was not entirely candid, except in one respect. The follow-up media procurement exercise is not targeted at cutting costs so much as spending existing budgets more wisely – on such key events as the annual Super Bowl.

Assuming success in this latest initiative, what efficiencies will the consortium target next? Both companies have been at pains to exclude the possibility of advertising production or agency fees coming into its remit. But as the short history of this joint-venture already demonstrates, client assurances may not stack up to much.

Just as concerning for agencies, this trend might catch on elsewhere. Whatever next in the consolidation game? Coca-Cola and Diageo? General Motors and McDonald’s? Microsoft and Motorola?

Mind you, it’s just as possible that this new-fangled media collaboration will tumble at the first hurdle if, as may happen, Pepsi and InBev end up squabbling over prime-time precedence during the Super Bowl.


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